000
FXUS62 KJAX 220146
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
945 PM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010

.SHORT TERM...NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE ENE ACROSS
OUR SE GA ZONES JUST AHEAD OF OCCLUDED FRONT. WINDS REMAIN SW BEHIND
THIS FEATURE...BUT DEW POINTS DROP OFF RIGHT BEHIND IT. SKIES HAVE
CLEARED OUT ACROSS EXTREME W PORTIONS OF THE AREA...BUT EXPECT LOW
CIGS TO MOVE BACK IN LATER TONIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH LOW-LEVEL
TROF. TEMPS ARE ON TRACK. ONLY PLAN ON UPDATING PRECIP AND WIND
WORDING FOR THE UPDATE.

.AVIATION...HAVE PERSISTING IFR CONDITIONS AT SSI AND MVFR AT VQQ
AND GNV THIS EVE. THE DRY SLOT MOVES IN WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS AND WILL PROBABLY HAVE VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS DURING
THE LATE EVENING AND INTO MUCH OF THE OVERNITE. CIGS WILL LOWER DOWN
TO MVFR AT AROUND 13Z MONDAY MORNING WITH THE APPROACH OF A
MID/UPPER TROUGH.

.MARINE...CURRENT OBS INDICATING WINDS ARE INCREASING OFFSHORE WITH
GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT THE ST AUGUSTINE BUOY OFFSHORE AS THE
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHES. WILL PROBABLY SEE A FURTHER INCREASE
OVERNITE FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH. MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN WINDS ON MONDAY AS THE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOME...THEN AS THE FRONT APPROACHES WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN WIND AGAIN DURING THE EVE. WILL LEAVE THE PREVIOUS
PACKAGE AS IS WITH THE ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE THROUGH 5
PM MONDAY BUT THIS WILL PROBABLY BE ADJUSTED LATER TONIGHT.

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM MONDAY FOR FERNANDINA BEACH
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

CARROLL/PETERSON/PRESNALL